Author

Erica Burrows

Date of Award

2020

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science (MS)

Department

Atmospheric Science

Committee Chair

Udaysankar Nair

Committee Member

Aaron Naeger

Committee Member

John R. Mecikalski

Committee Member

Arastoo Pour-Biazar

Subject(s)

Dust storms--United States--Simulation methods, Soil moisture--Remote sensing, Vegetation greenness--Remote sensing, Air quality

Abstract

Strong winds and dry surface conditions result in frequent occurrence of dusty conditions in the Southwestern United States (SW US) causing degraded air quality and harmful health effects. The Weather Research and Forecasting with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) model is often used to forecast such events. Biases in specifications of soil moisture and vegetation cover in the land surface component for initialization of WRF-Chem can result in systematic errors in forecasts. This study examines how WRF-Chem dust forecasts for the SW US can be improved through better prescriptions of soil and vegetation for the following cases: 27 April 2014, 23 March 2017, and 17 April 2018. Simulations of these events using the Global Forecast System (GFS) were compared against a set of simulations that used NASA Land Information System (LIS) and NESDIS green vegetation fraction (GVF) products to specify soil moisture and vegetation. Intercomparison with observations show that specification of vegetation and soil moisture improved dust forecasts with the latter having a larger impact.

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