Date of Award

2026

Document Type

Thesis

Degree Name

Master of Science (MS)

Department

Atmospheric and Earth Science

Committee Chair

Udaysankar Nair

Committee Member

Rahul Ramachandran

Committee Member

Sundar Christopher

Research Advisor

Udaysankar Nair

Subject(s)

Convection (Meteorology), Land use--Environmental aspects, Land cover--Environmental aspects, Cities and towns--Growth--Environmental aspects, Remote sensing, Cincinnati (Ohio)--Climate, Louisville (Ky.)--Climate, Evansville (Ind.)--Climate

Abstract

This thesis evaluates how urban growth modifies warm-season rainfall and convection near Louisville, Cincinnati, and Evansville. From 1987–2024, rainfall increased at most stations, but MERRA-2 and statistical modeling show that regional ascent and moisture were the primary controls on seasonal precipitation. Radar analysis identified storm initiation as the dominant event type, especially near Louisville’s urban–river boundary and northeastern downwind corridor. Louisville’s developed land increased from 53.5% to 66.3%, while MODIS showed significant nighttime warming but little daytime warming. GOES cloud-frequency patterns were also locally enhanced near river, urban-edge, southeastern vegetated, and downwind areas. WRF sensitivity simulations showed that urban land cover deepened the modeled boundary layer and altered the timing and location of cloud water and rainfall, although total precipitation changed less consistently. Overall, regional forcing controls rainfall magnitude, while urbanization and land-surface contrasts locally modify boundary-layer growth, cloud development, storm initiation, and precipitation distribution.

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